Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 61.471086 69.778439 78.334924 87.773683 97.861561 108.290062 119.855378
2025-03-23 49.735211 61.671003 74.574060 89.424181 105.914314 123.545913 143.706962
2025-03-30 42.877100 56.855583 72.515098 91.080037 112.228680 135.335977 162.263888
2025-04-06 36.420062 51.552332 69.087474 90.444505 115.325941 143.018141 175.801817
2025-04-13 30.433330 46.074391 64.824937 88.264076 116.149236 147.709618 185.600357
2025-04-20 28.103632 44.796956 65.324274 91.471859 123.041414 159.187356 202.997598
2025-04-27 25.583557 42.987970 64.942593 93.425641 128.301684 168.668314 218.025530
2025-05-04 22.335490 39.889331 62.680719 92.849948 130.351642 174.255731 228.430610
2025-05-11 19.384626 36.900183 60.322566 91.949972 131.841130 179.051853 237.807492
2025-05-18 17.381069 35.053024 59.309017 92.625635 135.164454 185.961980 249.624956
2025-05-25 15.202973 32.727597 57.483992 92.115234 136.904081 190.886986 259.027976
2025-06-01 13.542265 31.020164 56.379875 92.444678 139.620185 196.941514 269.744756
2025-06-08 11.580566 28.649974 54.230244 91.317571 140.466862 200.735713 277.814052
2025-06-15 10.537471 27.688296 54.031535 92.774424 144.605947 208.582523 290.805978
2025-06-22 9.669322 26.929592 54.064991 94.501608 149.065784 216.813800 304.267060
2025-06-29 8.316816 25.138660 52.441334 93.846808 150.350600 221.045056 312.817619
2025-07-06 6.782514 22.777907 49.787539 91.618188 149.460961 222.473678 317.870283
2025-07-13 6.525228 22.902769 51.007350 94.897691 155.902015 233.168916 334.374432
2025-07-20 6.040366 22.498744 51.349803 96.894740 160.618565 241.682097 348.194928
2025-07-27 5.139197 21.073038 49.954505 96.306338 161.808542 245.678136 356.393714
2025-08-03 4.288834 19.601761 48.384629 95.386436 162.493716 248.990832 363.716366
2025-08-10 3.771561 18.821738 47.924511 96.077067 165.356262 255.091447 374.525275
2025-08-17 3.146768 17.639902 46.695214 95.555363 166.510876 258.961571 382.521758